IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.7	#307
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.4	#128
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#264

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#317

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.2%	11.6%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.0	15.6

.500 or above	30.8%	62.9%	29.4%
.500 or above in Conference	46.0%	70.5%	44.9%
Conference Champion	4.5%	10.4%	4.2%
Last Place in Conference	7.0%	1.2%	7.2%

First Four	1.9%	2.8%	1.9%
First Round	3.2%	9.9%	2.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	10 - 9	11 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 28, 2020	83	@ Furman	L	65-83	4%
Dec 02, 2020	211	Eastern Kentucky	L	81-83	42%
Dec 05, 2020	293	NC Central	W	72-70	57%
Dec 12, 2020	124	Winthrop	L	76-84	24%
Dec 13, 2020	124	Winthrop	L	76-84	24%
Dec 15, 2020	84	@ UNC Greensboro	L	64-82	5%
Dec 22, 2020	20	@ Tennessee	L	58-84	1%
Dec 30, 2020	314	@ High Point	L	71-73	44%
Dec 31, 2020	314	@ High Point	L	71-73	44%
Jan 04, 2021	320	Longwood	W	74-69	66%
Jan 05, 2021	320	Longwood	W	74-69	67%
Jan 09, 2021	341	@ Presbyterian	W	75-71	65%
Jan 10, 2021	341	@ Presbyterian	W	75-71	64%
Jan 14, 2021	321	Hampton	W	83-78	67%
Jan 15, 2021	321	Hampton	W	83-78	67%
Jan 19, 2021	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	70-75	35%
Jan 20, 2021	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	70-75	34%
Jan 24, 2021	247	Gardner-Webb	L	72-73	49%
Jan 25, 2021	247	Gardner-Webb	L	72-73	49%
Jan 29, 2021	270	@ Radford	L	68-73	33%
Jan 30, 2021	270	@ Radford	L	68-73	33%
Feb 04, 2021	226	UNC Asheville	L	78-80	45%
Feb 05, 2021	226	UNC Asheville	L	78-80	45%
Feb 18, 2021	258	@ Campbell	L	68-74	32%
Feb 19, 2021	258	@ Campbell	L	68-74	32%
Projected Record						10 - 15	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.2	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0		4.5	1st
2nd												0.2	0.8	1.9	2.5	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0				8.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.5	3.3	3.2	1.8	0.5	0.0						10.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	2.3	4.2	3.0	1.3	0.2	0.0							11.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	2.9	4.7	2.8	0.7	0.1									11.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.7	3.1	4.8	2.4	0.6	0.1										11.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	0.9	3.4	4.9	2.1	0.4	0.0											11.7	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	1.1	3.1	3.6	1.8	0.3	0.0												9.9	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.2	3.3	2.9	1.2	0.2	0.0													9.0	9th
10th		0.1	0.4	1.4	2.3	1.9	0.6	0.1															6.8	10th
11th	0.2	0.8	1.1	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.1																4.2	11th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.6	2.8	4.3	6.6	7.6	9.0	10.6	10.6	10.1	9.4	7.8	6.6	5.2	3.1	2.1	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	99.1%	0.5		0.4	0.1
17-3	80.4%	0.8		0.5	0.2	0.0
16-4	59.5%	1.2		0.7	0.5	0.0	0.0
15-5	28.5%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	12.3%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.5%	4.5		2.5	1.6	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		38.1%	38.1%		12.0													0.0					0.0
19-1	0.2%		46.9%	46.9%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
18-2	0.5%		36.0%	36.0%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.3
17-3	1.0%		29.4%	29.4%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.7
16-4	2.1%		22.2%	22.2%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	1.6
15-5	3.1%		14.8%	14.8%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	2.7
14-6	5.2%		13.7%	13.7%		15.6															0.0	0.2	0.5	4.5
13-7	6.6%		7.7%	7.7%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.5	6.1
12-8	7.8%		7.0%	7.0%		16.0																0.0	0.5	7.3
11-9	9.4%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.0
10-10	10.1%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.3	9.8
9-11	10.6%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	10.4
8-12	10.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.5
7-13	9.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
6-14	7.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.6
5-15	6.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
4-16	4.3%																							4.3
3-17	2.8%																							2.8
2-18	1.6%																							1.6
1-19	0.8%																							0.8
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.2%	4.2%	0.0%	15.5													0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.8	95.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%